Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 4.278909 5.126167 6.070046 7.195569 8.496978 9.950174 11.691196
2025-03-02 2.879483 3.906180 5.172163 6.832096 8.933408 11.485708 14.798733
2025-03-09 2.158019 3.256030 4.730641 6.820342 9.663730 13.350751 18.437488
2025-03-16 1.688184 2.799761 4.408465 6.844880 10.366489 15.184598 22.166602
2025-03-23 1.344600 2.432885 4.118519 6.827023 10.953992 16.866476 25.798181
2025-03-30 1.033866 2.039207 3.703156 6.532851 11.064256 17.839737 28.472776
2025-04-06 0.850207 1.813120 3.504093 6.526511 11.578956 19.413885 32.110924
2025-04-13 0.699437 1.609651 3.301953 6.472959 11.991002 20.840917 35.610442
2025-04-20 0.631693 1.550236 3.341259 6.830067 13.102372 23.437832 41.095110
2025-04-27 0.558829 1.463103 3.311912 7.053437 13.996903 25.740582 46.258137
2025-05-04 0.508012 1.412066 3.342368 7.385997 15.106145 28.469030 52.280821
2025-05-11 0.432309 1.285575 3.197825 7.359068 15.553784 30.097817 56.570204
2025-05-18 0.348664 1.120463 2.947830 7.097494 15.554545 30.982192 59.719376
2025-05-25 0.276332 0.963632 2.686543 6.773578 15.397189 31.567872 62.389649
2025-06-01 0.235660 0.882253 2.584400 6.774016 15.874439 33.333207 67.245958
2025-06-08 0.202775 0.813913 2.500883 6.802578 16.407252 35.233472 72.455644
2025-06-15 0.172983 0.745714 2.404410 6.786242 16.840289 36.967917 77.457874
2025-06-22 0.137779 0.646503 2.205031 6.494063 16.647120 37.466189 80.173095
2025-06-29 0.117992 0.595027 2.126967 6.487917 17.078564 39.222436 85.369820
2025-07-06 0.099869 0.542845 2.035909 6.434694 17.395524 40.764122 90.233964
2025-07-13 0.094521 0.541169 2.097316 6.790004 18.687366 44.385454 99.358498
2025-07-20 0.086382 0.524551 2.108948 7.012252 19.683733 47.449140 107.529117
2025-07-27 0.081226 0.519698 2.157808 7.343142 20.967384 51.191698 117.239316